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Hong Kong, Hong Kong, 2011/09/20 - Research reports focus on forecasting student flows from key sending countries to the US, Canada and Australia; a slowing world economy, visa changes and currency fluctuations are among factors potentially impacting trends - BritishCouncil.org.hk.
Forecasting international student mobility from key sending countries such as China, India and Malaysia to traditional hosting countries is the focus of Students in Motion, a series of research reports from Education Intelligence, the British Council’s global service.
The forecasting model is the result of an extensive econometric investigation conducted by Education Intelligence establishing the main determinants and drivers behind students choosing to pursue study overseas. The hosting countries examined are the US, Canada and Australia.
“Our research can help you understand why student mobility trends occur, and to potentially anticipate them in the future,” says Dr. Janet Ilieva, Education Intelligence’s Head of Research. “The complexities of the international student landscape are explored for those involved in creating recruitment strategies.”
Some highlights from Students in Motion:
The sending countries:
• The number of Malaysia students seeking overseas study hit a plateau in 2009 and is expected to peak again in 2013-2014;
• India has the best long-term outlook in terms of students expected to seek overseas education, with that number projected to reach a quarter million by 2015 from almost 165,000 in 2008-2009;
• In the past, Chinese students opting to study abroad has been a constant 1.5% of the total enrolled at home. This will decrease marginally by 2015 and settle at 1.4%
The hosting countries:
• Cheaper tuition fees, a perceived multicultural bias and a clean environment are all contributing to Canada attracting an increased number of Indian students;
• The US is set to have most significant decrease in their market share of Chinese students over the studied period from 30% in 2010 to 24% in 2015 due mainly to deteriorating trade between the two countries;
• Australia has seen the greatest increase in enrolments from China, to 21.5% of internationally mobile Chinese students choosing Australia in 2010, up from 6% in 2000. This is set to grow by one percent by 2015
The seven Students in Motion reports cover the flow of students from China, India and Malaysia going to the US for study; from China and India to Canada; and China and Malaysia to Australia.
Looking ahead, predicting student mobility is likely to become even more difficult, considering a world wrestling with an increasing level of political and social unrest.
“In the past, accessing a higher quality education overseas and bettering one’s job prospects post-graduation were the main contributing factors to international student mobility,” says Dr. Ilieva. “However, in recent years, less-quantifiable factors have come into play.”
For example, changes in an immigration regime and students’ perceptions have already significantly affected international student enrolments in Australia, Dr. Ilieva adds. She notes that the tighter immigration system in the US as a result of the events of September 11th impacted even concrete macroeconomic forces, such as tuition fees and exchange rates, in the past.
Students in Motion reports are available for purchase via the Education Intelligence website.